A stock has a temper in the trend and a nature in the cycles.
Risk is the difference between what can happen and what will happen. Trading Psychology Books
Prediction for Market bottom at Oct. 2008: AMZN to $70, GOOG to $300, APPL to $90, SOHU to $50, RIMM to $80.
Prediction for Market bottom at Feb. 2009: AMZN to $30, GOOG to $100, APPL to $50, SOHU to $50, RIMM to $30. BIDU to $70